Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Stricker vs Virtanen: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8h 20mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Dominic Stricker43%
Otto Virtanen57%
Elo: D. Stricker 45% · O. Virtanen 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Stricker26%
2:1 D. Stricker17%
2:1 O. Virtanen21%
2:0 O. Virtanen37%
First set
Dominic Stricker45%
Otto Virtanen55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,718 matches
Games handicap
Otto Virtanen −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Stricker | Tour | O. Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.53 | 0.83 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 27% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/14 | 19/43 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 36 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dominic Stricker
- 14/10/26WPhilip Henning#267Challenger Roanne · R326:2 6:3
- 07/10/26LLaslo Djere#179Challenger Villena · R321:6 5:7
- 05/10/26WMarko ToPo#330Challenger Villena · Q26:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WEnrique Carrascosa DiazChallenger Villena · Q16:3 7:5
- 01/10/26LHenry Bernet#371Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 6:7
- 30/09/26WLiam Broady#213Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:4 3:6 6:1
- 25/08/26LMartin Krumich#257Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 3:6
- 22/08/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Sion · F6:1 2:6 6:2
- 21/08/26WTommaso Compagnucci#372Challenger Sion · SF6:2 6:2
- 20/08/26WMika Brunold#261Challenger Sion · QF6:4 7:6
Otto Virtanen
- 14/10/26WRemy Bertola#227Challenger Roanne · R327:5 7:5
- 29/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 6:2 3:6
- 31/08/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP US Open · R1287:6 7:6 0:6 2:6 6:7
- 26/08/26WJack Pinnington Jones#205ATP US Open · Q22:6 7:6 6:3
- 24/08/26WUgo Blanchet#305ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:4
- 19/08/26LMoez Echargui#356Challenger Cancun · R326:7 6:7
- 13/08/26LColeman Wong#101ATP Cincinnati · Q26:7 6:7
- 11/08/26WVignesh Gogineni#753ATP Cincinnati · Q16:3 6:1
- 30/07/26LTimofey Skatov#210Challenger San Marino · R162:6 4:6
- 28/07/26WFilippo Romano#306Challenger San Marino · R327:5 6:4
Elo over the last year
Dominic StrickerOtto Virtanen
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Stricker | O. Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–367% | 18–1260% |
| Clay | 18–967% | 7–1041% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 11–473% |
Head to head
D. Stricker 0–2 O. Virtanen
- 11/03/23Winner: Otto Virtanen7:6 3:6 0:6
- 04/11/22Winner: Otto Virtanen4:6 6:7
Road through the tournament
Dominic Stricker
- 14/10/26WPhilip Henning#267Challenger Roanne · R326:2 6:3
Otto Virtanen
- 14/10/26WRemy Bertola#227Challenger Roanne · R327:5 7:5