ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Svrcina vs Etcheverry 2:1: result and our tips

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Dalibor SvrcinaATP #126Elo 1833hard 1825
2:1final6:3 3:6 7:5
Tomás Martín EtcheverryATP #31Elo 1905hard 1872

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svrcina: 4 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svrcina: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dalibor Svrcina41%
Tomás Martín Etcheverry59%

Elo: D. Svrcina 43% · T. Etcheverry 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Svrcina24%
2:1 D. Svrcina19%
2:1 T. Etcheverry21%
2:0 T. Etcheverry37%

First set

Dalibor Svrcina44%
Tomás Martín Etcheverry56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%68%
20.563%37%60%
21.558%42%54%
22.550%50%46%
23.544%56%39%
24.542%58%38%
25.538%62%34%

Sample: 5,774 matches

Games handicap

Tomás Martín Etcheverry −2.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dalibor SvrcinaTomás Martín Etcheverry
3Aces11
4Double faults1
53%First serves in63%
68%First-serve points won65%
55%Second-serve points won58%
4/9Break points converted3/13
12/15Service games held11/15
62%Service points won62%
38%Return points won38%
101Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SvrcinaTourT. Etcheverry
Service points won59%62%66%
Return points won44%38%35%
Service games held67%76%82%
Breaks of serve37%24%19%
Aces per service game0.240.52
Double faults per game0.410.15
Sets with a tie-break15%22%
Tie-breaks won12/2219/35
Wins in straight sets69%50%
Matches in the sample5860

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dalibor Svrcina

Tomás Martín Etcheverry

Elo over the last year

Dalibor SvrcinaTomás Martín Etcheverry

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SvrcinaT. Etcheverry
Hard court17–1553%14–1548%
Clay15–1060%18–1064%
Grass0–10%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dalibor Svrcina

Tomás Martín Etcheverry

First match in this tournament.

See also