Tien vs Ruud 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Tien 12 of 20, Ruud 17 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 37% → with the players' profiles 32%
Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Tien 8 of 20, Ruud 12 of 20 (tour average 40%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Tien 55% · C. Ruud 45%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,785 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Learner Tien | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 13 |
| 5 | Double faults | 3 |
| 66% | First serves in | 68% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 89% |
| 54% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 0/2 | Break points converted | 1/9 |
| 10/11 | Service games held | 11/11 |
| 64% | Service points won | 73% |
| 28% | Return points won | 36% |
| 72 | Total points won | 80 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Tien | Tour | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 22/29 | 11/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Learner Tien
- 10/10/26WZachary Svajda#82ATP Shanghai · R647:5 7:5
- 01/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 4:6
- 07/09/26LKaren Khachanov#27ATP US Open · R165:7 6:4 7:6 1:6 4:6
- 06/09/26WJakub Menšík#15ATP US Open · R326:3 1:6 6:7 6:3 6:4
- 03/09/26WGael Monfils#254ATP US Open · R646:3 6:4 6:3
- 31/08/26WNuno Borges#51ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:1 6:2
- 19/08/26LFrances Tiafoe#10ATP Cincinnati · R324:6 6:4 4:6
- 16/08/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Cincinnati · R646:3 7:6
- 13/08/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Montreal · SF2:6 3:6
- 11/08/26WDaniel Merida#44ATP Montreal · QF6:3 6:2
Casper Ruud
- 10/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Shanghai · R646:1 7:6
- 01/10/26LLuciano Darderi#21ATP Tokyo · R326:7 3:6
- 16/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#117ATP Cincinnati · R645:7 2:1
- 07/08/26LJoao Fonseca#29ATP Montreal · R326:7 3:6
- 05/08/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP Montreal · R646:1 6:2
- 17/07/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP Gstaad · QF6:3 5:7 2:6
- 16/07/26WJaime Faria#60ATP Gstaad · R166:7 6:4 6:2
- 29/06/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Wimbledon · R1284:6 2:6 6:7
- 31/05/26LJoao Fonseca#29ATP French Open · R165:7 6:7 7:5 2:6
- 29/05/26WTommy Paul#18ATP French Open · R324:6 6:7 6:4 7:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Tien | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1369% | 14–1156% |
| Clay | 9–469% | 17–674% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Learner Tien
- 10/10/26WZachary Svajda#82ATP Shanghai · R647:5 7:5
Casper Ruud
- 10/10/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Shanghai · R646:1 7:6