Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Torres vs Martin 0:2: result and our tips

·

Tiago TorresATP #377Elo 1618clay 1616
0:2final3:6 3:6
Andrej MartinATP #358Elo 1603clay 1600

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tiago Torres54%
Andrej Martin46%

Elo: T. Torres 52% · A. Martin 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Torres34%
2:1 T. Torres20%
2:1 A. Martin19%
2:0 A. Martin27%

First set

Tiago Torres53%
Andrej Martin47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,524 matches

Games handicap

Tiago Torres −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tiago TorresAndrej Martin
4Aces0
3Double faults3
49%First serves in56%
43%First-serve points won64%
55%Second-serve points won62%
2/4Break points converted5/9
4/9Service games held7/9
49%Service points won63%
37%Return points won51%
52Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. TorresTourA. Martin
Service points won57%62%61%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held66%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%27%
Aces per service game0.280.29
Double faults per game0.400.24
Sets with a tie-break4%12%
Tie-breaks won2/26/11
Wins in straight sets29%46%
Matches in the sample1739

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tiago Torres

Andrej Martin

Elo over the last year

Tiago TorresAndrej Martin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. TorresA. Martin
Hard court2–340%0–0
Clay5–742%24–1562%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tiago Torres

First match in this tournament.

Andrej Martin