Uchijima vs Mertens 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Uchijima 18 of 20, Mertens 17 of 20 (tour average 72%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Uchijima: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Uchijima 12 of 20, Mertens 11 of 20 (tour average 44%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Uchijima 18% · E. Mertens 82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 84% | 16% | 90% |
| 16.5 | 73% | 27% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 63% | 37% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 53% | 47% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 45% | 55% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 38% | 62% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 34% | 66% | 44% |
Sample: 1,059 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 19.0in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Moyuka Uchijima | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 6 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 64% | First serves in | 72% |
| 56% | First-serve points won | 83% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 0/4 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 55% | Service points won | 74% |
| 26% | Return points won | 45% |
| 42 | Total points won | 61 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Uchijima | Tour | E. Mertens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.40 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 5% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/14 | 4/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Moyuka Uchijima
- 22/10/26LMary Stoiana#113WTA Osaka · R162:6 6:2 3:6
- 20/10/26WEna Shibahara#481WTA Osaka · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 10/10/26LMagdalena Fręch#50WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 1:4
- 06/10/26LZhuoxuan Bai#198WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 3:6 3:6
- 21/09/26LLanlana Tararudee#57WTA Seoul · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 26/08/26LLucie Havlickova#184WTA US Open · Q22:6 6:2 6:7
- 25/08/26WPolona Hercog#206WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:3
- 12/08/26LHarriet Dart#115WTA Cincinnati · Q13:6 0:6
- 04/08/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Toronto · R643:6 3:6
- 02/08/26WCristina Bucsa#42WTA Toronto · R1286:3 6:4
Elise Mertens
- 19/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Ningbo · R326:2 3:6 5:7
- 13/10/26LDaria Snigur#40WTA Wuhan · R644:6 5:7
- 10/10/26LQinwen Zheng#22WTA Beijing · SF5:7 2:6
- 09/10/26WIga Świątek#8WTA Beijing · QF7:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA Beijing · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26WKatie Volynets#81WTA Beijing · R646:0 4:6 7:5
- 25/09/26LMaja Chwalińska#11WTA Singapore · QF2:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LNaomi Osaka#18WTA US Open · R323:6 6:3 5:7
- 03/09/26WMaria Timofeeva#72WTA US Open · R646:2 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Uchijima | E. Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1544% | 18–1358% |
| Clay | 15–1158% | 5–456% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 7–464% |
Head to head
M. Uchijima 0–1 E. Mertens
- 22/01/26Winner: E. Mertens3:6 1:6