Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Vrbensky vs Wallin 0:0: result and our tips

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Michael VrbenskyATP #754Elo 1393clay 1375
0:0retired4:3
Olle WallinATP #423Elo 1690clay 1705

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.555%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 55%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Vrbensky 14 of 20, Wallin 17 of 20 (tour average 59%); Vrbensky: 7 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Wallin77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vrbensky lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.538%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 38%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Vrbensky 10 of 20, Wallin 11 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Michael Vrbensky24%
Olle Wallin76%

Elo: M. Vrbensky 13% · O. Wallin 87%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Vrbensky13%
2:1 M. Vrbensky12%
2:1 O. Wallin23%
2:0 O. Wallin53%

First set

Michael Vrbensky31%
Olle Wallin70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 47%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.564%36%68%
19.555%45%59%
20.549%51%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%66%36%

Sample: 2,889 matches

Games handicap

Olle Wallin −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Michael VrbenskyOlle Wallin
—Aces—
0Double faults1
36%First serves in67%
60%First-serve points won50%
78%Second-serve points won57%
2/2Break points converted1/1
2/3Service games held2/4
71%Service points won52%
48%Return points won29%
20Total points won15

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. VrbenskyTourO. Wallin
Service points won58%62%61%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held70%76%75%
Breaks of serve24%24%28%
Aces per service game0.360.44
Double faults per game0.370.22
Sets with a tie-break21%11%
Tie-breaks won6/165/9
Wins in straight sets58%52%
Matches in the sample3336

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michael Vrbensky

  • 14/09/26LKai Wehnelt#613Challenger Szczecin · Q25:7 2:6
  • 16/08/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Prague · Q16:2 2:6 4:6
  • 28/07/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124Challenger San Marino · R323:6 6:3 2:6
  • 27/07/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger San Marino · Q26:3 5:7 6:3
  • 19/07/26LPatrik Niklas-SalminenChallenger Tampere · Q16:7 7:6 4:6
  • 28/06/26LMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Brasov · Q16:7 6:4 3:6
  • 14/06/26LMilos Karol#583Challenger Poznan · Q16:7 1:6
  • 31/05/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Bad Rappenau · Q10:6 1:6
  • 11/05/26LDali Blanch#325Challenger Tunis · Q26:7 3:6
  • 10/05/26WRobin Bertrand#396Challenger Tunis · Q16:3 4:6 7:6

Olle Wallin

Elo over the last year

Michael VrbenskyOlle Wallin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. VrbenskyO. Wallin
Hard court9–853%0–40%
Clay3–1319%21–1166%

Head to head

They have not met yet.