Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Wallin vs Neumayer 0:2: result and our tips

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Olle WallinATP #423Elo 1709clay 1726
0:2final2:6 2:6
Lukas NeumayerATP #180Elo 1777clay 1781

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 72% → with the players' profiles 69%

Wallin: 13 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Wallin 19 of 20, Neumayer 14 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: NeumayerWon71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Neumayer won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Wallin 12 of 20, Neumayer 9 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Olle Wallin29%
Lukas Neumayer71%

Elo: O. Wallin 42% · L. Neumayer 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Wallin16%
2:1 O. Wallin14%
2:1 L. Neumayer23%
2:0 L. Neumayer48%

First set

Olle Wallin35%
Lukas Neumayer65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%59%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,729 matches

Games handicap

Lukas Neumayer −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Olle WallinLukas Neumayer
3Aces2
0Double faults1
49%First serves in67%
62%First-serve points won77%
37%Second-serve points won59%
0/5Break points converted4/9
4/8Service games held8/8
49%Service points won71%
29%Return points won51%
41Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. WallinTourL. Neumayer
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held76%76%78%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.440.26
Double faults per game0.220.19
Sets with a tie-break11%14%
Tie-breaks won5/99/20
Wins in straight sets52%67%
Matches in the sample3564

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Olle Wallin

  • 07/10/26WMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Braga · R327:6 6:0
  • 05/10/26WTiago Cacao#649Challenger Braga · Q27:5 7:6
  • 04/10/26WPedro Rodenas#633Challenger Braga · Q11:6 6:2 7:5
  • 29/09/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · R323:6 5:7
  • 08/09/26LZdenek Kolar#196Challenger Tulln · R323:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Tulln · Q27:6 6:4
  • 06/09/26WMatthias UjvaryChallenger Tulln · Q17:5 6:2
  • 01/09/26LJohan Nikles#399Challenger Como · R324:6 6:3 4:6
  • 31/08/26WAndrea Colombo#853Challenger Como · Q23:6 6:1 7:6
  • 30/08/26WNiccolo CatiniChallenger Como · Q14:6 6:0 6:3

Lukas Neumayer

Elo over the last year

Olle WallinLukas Neumayer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. WallinL. Neumayer
Hard court0–40%7–847%
Clay21–1068%32–1667%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Olle Wallin

Lukas Neumayer