ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Walton vs Basilashvili 0:2: result and our tips

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Adam WaltonATP #97Elo 1831hard 1789
0:2final4:6 6:7(4)
Nikoloz BasilashviliATP #128Elo 1850hard 1829

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adam Walton43%
Nikoloz Basilashvili57%

Elo: A. Walton 44% · N. Basilashvili 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Walton24%
2:1 A. Walton19%
2:1 N. Basilashvili21%
2:0 N. Basilashvili36%

First set

Adam Walton45%
Nikoloz Basilashvili55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%52%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,747 matches

Games handicap

Nikoloz Basilashvili −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Adam WaltonNikoloz Basilashvili
15Aces11
1Double faults1
63%First serves in59%
72%First-serve points won80%
52%Second-serve points won70%
0/0Break points converted1/12
10/11Service games held11/11
64%Service points won76%
24%Return points won36%
74Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. WaltonTourN. Basilashvili
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held81%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%22%
Aces per service game0.590.60
Double faults per game0.150.40
Sets with a tie-break19%20%
Tie-breaks won16/3511/26
Wins in straight sets67%67%
Matches in the sample7757

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adam Walton

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Elo over the last year

Adam WaltonNikoloz Basilashvili

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. WaltonN. Basilashvili
Hard court29–2752%13–1546%
Clay6–460%12–1250%
Grass7–464%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Adam Walton

Nikoloz Basilashvili