Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Wiskandt vs Damas 2:1: result and our tips

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Max WiskandtATP #388Elo 1487clay 1492
2:1final0:6 7:5 6:4
Miguel DamasATP #349Elo 1616clay 1616

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Lost58%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 58%

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Wiskandt 14 of 20, Damas 13 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 46%

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Wiskandt 11 of 20, Damas 12 of 20 (tour average 48%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Max Wiskandt39%
Miguel Damas61%

Elo: M. Wiskandt 33% · M. Damas 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Wiskandt22%
2:1 M. Wiskandt16%
2:1 M. Damas22%
2:0 M. Damas40%

First set

Max Wiskandt41%
Miguel Damas59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,833 matches

Games handicap

Miguel Damas −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Max WiskandtMiguel Damas
0Aces3
2Double faults6
60%First serves in68%
54%First-serve points won66%
48%Second-serve points won31%
6/9Break points converted7/14
7/14Service games held8/14
52%Service points won55%
45%Return points won48%
77Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. WiskandtTourM. Damas
Service points won62%62%56%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held74%76%63%
Breaks of serve24%24%32%
Aces per service game0.410.13
Double faults per game0.290.28
Sets with a tie-break17%14%
Tie-breaks won9/1511/20
Wins in straight sets59%73%
Matches in the sample3861

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Wiskandt

Miguel Damas

Elo over the last year

Max WiskandtMiguel Damas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. WiskandtM. Damas
Hard court11–1346%4–640%
Clay6–843%22–2943%

Head to head

They have not met yet.