Ymer vs Bellucci 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 74%
Ymer: 13 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Ymer 18 of 20, Bellucci 16 of 20 (tour average 71%)
Other tips
- Set Betting: Bellucci 2-0Won58%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ymer lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Bellucci won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
- Match Winner: BellucciWon79%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bellucci won 7 of the last 10 matches; Ymer lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 33% → with the players' profiles 36%
Over 23.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches; Ymer: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Ymer 24% · M. Bellucci 76%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 32% | 68% | 35% |
Sample: 3,044 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 21.0out · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Elias Ymer | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 6 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 62% | First serves in | 56% |
| 47% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 45% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 0/5 | Break points converted | 5/10 |
| 3/8 | Service games held | 7/7 |
| 46% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 54% |
| 43 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Ymer | Tour | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/28 | 11/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elias Ymer
- 05/10/26LMattia Bellucci#86ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
- 01/10/26LFederico Cina#147Challenger Jingshan · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTerence Atmane#99Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:5 5:5
- 22/09/26LAlexis Galarneau#184ATP Chengdu · Q15:7 6:7
- 18/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 3:6
- 16/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R167:6 6:4
- 14/09/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R325:7 7:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LPavel Kotov#187Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 3:6 6:7
- 01/09/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:7 5:5
- 26/08/26LCristian Garin#131ATP US Open · Q22:6 6:7
Mattia Bellucci
- 07/10/26LYi Zhou#277ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:3 6:7
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
- 29/09/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:2
- 28/09/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:4
- 24/09/26LKamil Majchrzak#70ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Ymer | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–2350% | 22–2052% |
| Clay | 2–340% | 7–750% |
| Grass | 6–460% | 5–456% |
Head to head
E. Ymer 1–2 M. Bellucci
- 05/10/26Winner: Mattia Bellucci6:4 5:7 6:7
- 10/08/24Winner: Mattia Bellucci5:7 5:7
- 05/10/23Winner: Elias Ymer3:6 7:6 6:3