Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Young vs Chan 2:1: result and our tips

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Gavin YoungATP #542Elo 1534hard 1535
2:1final4:6 6:1 6:4
Duncan ChanATP #472Elo 1684hard 1666

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gavin Young38%
Duncan Chan62%

Elo: G. Young 32% · D. Chan 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Young22%
2:1 G. Young16%
2:1 D. Chan22%
2:0 D. Chan40%

First set

Gavin Young41%
Duncan Chan59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,755 matches

Games handicap

Duncan Chan −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Gavin YoungDuncan Chan
5Aces2
1Double faults2
67%First serves in63%
76%First-serve points won62%
39%Second-serve points won50%
4/6Break points converted2/9
12/14Service games held9/13
64%Service points won58%
42%Return points won36%
85Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. YoungTourD. Chan
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held75%76%75%
Breaks of serve21%24%25%
Aces per service game0.390.35
Double faults per game0.240.32
Sets with a tie-break0%16%
Tie-breaks won0/04/7
Wins in straight sets67%46%
Matches in the sample718

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gavin Young

  • 18/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Fort Worth · Q11:6 6:4 6:3
  • 10/08/26LEdward Winter#401Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
  • 09/08/26WWilliam ManningChallenger Brownsburg · Q16:2 6:4
  • 02/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#160Challenger Lexington · Q15:7 3:6
  • 20/07/26LSebastian Gorzny#406Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q27:5 5:7 3:6
  • 19/07/26WRichard BiagiottiChallenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 6:4
  • 12/07/26LYassine Dlimi#486Challenger Lincoln · Q15:7 3:6

Duncan Chan

Elo over the last year

Gavin YoungDuncan Chan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. YoungD. Chan
Hard court3–443%11–761%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gavin Young

Duncan Chan