WTA BeijingWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Zheng vs Svitolina 2:0: result and our tips

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Qinwen ZhengWTA #23Elo 2015hard 2027
2:0final6:3 7:6(6)
Elina SvitolinaWTA #6Elo 2123hard 2087

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Zheng 18 of 20, Svitolina 15 of 20 (tour average 63%); Zheng: 10 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Zheng 11 of 20, Svitolina 9 of 20 (tour average 32%); Zheng: 4 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Qinwen Zheng44%
Elina Svitolina56%

Elo: Q. Zheng 42% · E. Svitolina 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Q. Zheng29%
2:1 Q. Zheng18%
2:1 E. Svitolina20%
2:0 E. Svitolina33%

First set

Qinwen Zheng48%
Elina Svitolina52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,340 matches

Games handicap

Elina Svitolina −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Qinwen ZhengElina Svitolina
6Aces7
4Double faults2
58%First serves in61%
75%First-serve points won56%
46%Second-serve points won50%
4/11Break points converted2/2
8/10Service games held7/11
63%Service points won53%
47%Return points won37%
80Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Q. ZhengTourE. Svitolina
Service points won62%56%59%
Return points won40%44%47%
Service games held76%63%72%
Breaks of serve27%37%42%
Aces per service game0.660.31
Double faults per game0.400.31
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won6/910/15
Wins in straight sets32%56%
Matches in the sample3659

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Qinwen Zheng

Elina Svitolina

Elo over the last year

Qinwen ZhengElina Svitolina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Q. ZhengE. Svitolina
Hard court17–771%31–879%
Clay3–350%12–380%
Grass2–433%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Qinwen Zheng

Elina Svitolina

See also