1. LigaMatchday 12
Slovan Liberec vs Ostrava: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.541%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Slovan Liberec1:0OstravaW
- Ostrava0:2Slovan LiberecW
- Slovan Liberec0:1OstravaL
- Ostrava2:0Slovan LiberecL
- Ostrava2:2Slovan LiberecD
Slovan Liberec's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Slovan Liberec : OstravaMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-013%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-013%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-013%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%55% | 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Slovan Liberec win | 48%52% · Elo 55% | 52%· Elo 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Ostrava win | 23%22% · Elo 20% | 22%· Elo 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Slovan Liberec attack vs Ostrava defenceattack1518defence1490+28 pts to the attack
Ostrava attack vs Slovan Liberec defenceattack1473defence1582−109 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%61%
8.543%45%
9.531%31%
10.521%19%
Each team on its own
Slovan Liberecwe expect 5.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 58%
Ostravawe expect 3.0, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.556%56%
23.549%50%
24.543%44%
25.536%36%
Each team on its own
Slovan Liberecwe expect 11.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 47%
Ostravawe expect 12.3, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 71%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 29%
We expect 1.9 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.556%66%
2.529%37%
3.512%20%
4.54%12%
Each team on its own
Slovan Liberecwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 19%
Ostravawe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Slovan Liberec matches average 5.6 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Slovan Liberec concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Ostrava score only 0.7 goals per game
- Slovan Liberec: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ostrava: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 12 | Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Ostrava?
Slovan Liberec are the favourites. Chances: Slovan Liberec win 48%, draw 29%, Ostrava win 23%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Slovan Liberec vs Ostrava?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Slovan Liberec 1.4, Ostrava 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Slovan Liberec vs Ostrava?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).