1. LigaMatchday 10

Bohemians Prague 1-0 Ostrava: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 10 October · 17:00

Bohemians Prague

2-2 1-1 0-3 2-0 1-2

1-0Full time(half time 1-0)

Ostrava

2-2 1-2 0-3 0-4 1-0

Stadium:: Dolicek Stadium, Prague
Referee:: Adam Trska

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 10 October 2026, 11:40. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Fouls – Ostrava: Under 11.5Won57%

our numbers for Ostrava: 11.1 fouls against a league average of 12.1

Other tips

Offsides – Bohemians Prague: Under 1.5Won75%
our numbers for Bohemians Prague: 1.0 offsides against a league average of 1.2

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBohemians Prague152944%44%Draw26%28%Ostrava151330%29%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%50%O2.556%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

18/04/202618/04/26Ostrava0:2Bohemians PragueW
19/07/202519/07/25Bohemians Prague1:0OstravaW
19/04/202519/04/25Ostrava1:0Bohemians PragueL
20/07/202420/07/24Bohemians Prague2:1OstravaW
24/02/202424/02/24Ostrava1:1Bohemians PragueD

Bohemians Prague's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10

Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 0

RefereeA. Trska−0.5 yellow cards vs average16 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)69%O2.51:1coverageleague 61% · H2H 2/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5

Bohemians Prague : Ostrava

Most likely scores

Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-0—0-1—2-07%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-09%0-19%2-08%1-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%0-10-1—0-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	80%71%	71%
12 – no draw	74%72%	72%
1X – home team avoid defeat	70%71%	71%
Under 3.5 goals	67%76%	76%
Both teams to score: yes	59%50%	50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%56%	56%
Over 2.5 goals	56%45%	45%
1 – Bohemians Prague win	44%44% · Elo 44%	44%· Elo 44%
Under 2.5 goals	44%55%	55%
Both teams to score: no	41%50%	50%
Over 3.5 goals	33%24%	24%
2 – Ostrava win	30%29% · Elo 29%	29%· Elo 29%
X – draw	26%28% · Elo 28%	28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	20%29%	29%

Attack vs defence

Bohemians Prague attack vs Ostrava defenceattack1452defence1488−36 pts to the attack

Ostrava attack vs Bohemians Prague defenceattack1479defence1505−26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%

We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.556%61%

8.543%45%

9.531%30%

10.521%19%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Bohemians Praguewe expect 4.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 42%

Ostravawe expect 3.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 52%

Foulsleague average

Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%

We expect 23.6 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

22.556%56%

23.549%50%

24.542%44%

25.536%36%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Bohemians Praguewe expect 11.7, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 49%

Ostravawe expect 11.1, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 33%

Referee: 26.5 fouls per match on average (6 matches in our data)+2.6 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Under 2.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 35%

We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.561%66%

2.535%38%

3.516%20%

4.56%12%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Bohemians Praguewe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 25%

Ostravawe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form