1. LigaMatchday 7

Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Ostrava: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Referee:
Jan Vsetecka

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost63%

under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost45%

under 3.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMlada Boleslav157542%45%Draw26%28%Ostrava151332%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.558%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ostrava0:0Mlada BoleslavD
  2. Ostrava0:0Mlada BoleslavD
  3. Mlada Boleslav1:1OstravaD
  4. Ostrava2:1Mlada BoleslavL
  5. Mlada Boleslav0:0OstravaD
Mlada Boleslav's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Vsetecka+0.1 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Mlada Boleslav : Ostrava
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%1-28%0-1—2-06%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%1-27%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-06%2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals64%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes61%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals58%51%51%
1 – Mlada Boleslav win42%43% · Elo 45%43%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals42%49%49%
Both teams to score: no39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals36%29%29%
2 – Ostrava win32%31% · Elo 27%31%· Elo 27%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Mlada Boleslav attack vs Ostrava defenceattack1518defence1523−5 pts to the attack
Ostrava attack vs Mlada Boleslav defenceattack1488defence1444+44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Mlada Boleslav952217:1217
12Ostrava103167:1810
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mlada Boleslav vs Ostrava?

Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Ostrava (half time 2-0).

Did the Mlada Boleslav vs Ostrava tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.