1. LigaMatchday 8

Ostrava 1-2 Pardubice: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mestsky stadion(Ostrava-Vítkovice), Ostrava
Referee:
Vojtech Opocensky

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost41%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOstrava150545%50%Draw27%26%Pardubice147828%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%49%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ostrava1:4PardubiceL
  2. Pardubice0:1OstravaW
  3. Ostrava5:2PardubiceW
  4. Pardubice2:3OstravaW
  5. Pardubice0:1OstravaW
Ostrava's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 6
RefereeV. Opocensky+0.4 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.5
Ostrava : Pardubice
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-08%2-19%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-19%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-09%1-012%2-02-08%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%72%72%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals70%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes56%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat55%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals52%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals48%54%54%
1 – Ostrava win45%51% · Elo 50%51%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: no44%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals30%25%25%
2 – Pardubice win28%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals23%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Ostrava attack vs Pardubice defenceattack1479defence1456+23 pts to the attack
Pardubice attack vs Ostrava defenceattack1410defence1499−89 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Pardubice: no win in 8 matches
  • Pardubice: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Ostrava: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Pardubice: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Ostrava103167:1810
14Pardubice102269:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ostrava vs Pardubice?

Ostrava 1-2 Pardubice (half time 0-1).

Did the Ostrava vs Pardubice tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.