1. LigaMatchday 7

Jablonec 1-2 Slovan Liberec: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec
Referee:
Ondrej Berka

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost68%

referee Ondrej Berka averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost57%

    under 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (49% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost50%

referee Ondrej Berka averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJablonec162132%45%Draw30%28%Slovan Liberec160939%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.543%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jablonec2:1Slovan LiberecW
  2. Jablonec1:2Slovan LiberecL
  3. Slovan Liberec0:2JablonecW
  4. Jablonec0:0Slovan LiberecD
  5. Slovan Liberec0:5JablonecW
Jablonec's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.8over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 6
RefereeO. Berka−1.0 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.3total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Jablonec : Slovan Liberec
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-111%1-09%0-010%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-011%0-09%2-19%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%1-01-09%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%76%76%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals57%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals43%46%46%
2 – Slovan Liberec win39%32% · Elo 28%32%· Elo 28%
1 – Jablonec win32%41% · Elo 45%41%· Elo 45%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals30%29%29%
Over 3.5 goals22%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Jablonec attack vs Slovan Liberec defenceattack1521defence1578−57 pts to the attack
Slovan Liberec attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1525defence1512+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Slovan Liberec matches average 5.7 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Slovan Liberec: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Jablonec: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Slovan Liberec: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Slovan Liberec1062213:620
5Jablonec1052312:917
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?

Jablonec 1-2 Slovan Liberec (half time 0-0).

Did the Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.