Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Ajdukovic vs Martin 1:2: result and our tips

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Duje AjdukovicATP #353Elo 1612clay 1599
1:2final7:5 3:6 2:6
Andrej MartinATP #387Elo 1604clay 1599

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martin: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Martin: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 45%

Martin: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Duje Ajdukovic66%
Andrej Martin34%

Elo: D. Ajdukovic 50% · A. Martin 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Ajdukovic44%
2:1 D. Ajdukovic23%
2:1 A. Martin15%
2:0 A. Martin19%

First set

Duje Ajdukovic62%
Andrej Martin38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,397 matches

Games handicap

Duje Ajdukovic −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Duje AjdukovicAndrej Martin
3Aces4
3Double faults12
56%First serves in46%
60%First-serve points won82%
39%Second-serve points won35%
4/11Break points converted7/9
8/15Service games held10/14
51%Service points won57%
43%Return points won49%
95Total points won106

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. AjdukovicTourA. Martin
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won40%38%40%
Service games held72%76%76%
Breaks of serve27%24%27%
Aces per service game0.400.29
Double faults per game0.250.22
Sets with a tie-break15%12%
Tie-breaks won10/175/10
Wins in straight sets67%46%
Matches in the sample5035

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Duje Ajdukovic

Andrej Martin

Elo over the last year

Duje AjdukovicAndrej Martin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. AjdukovicA. Martin
Hard court11–1052%0–0
Clay13–1645%22–1363%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Duje Ajdukovic

Andrej Martin