WTA 125 SamsunSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Aksu vs Sakatsume 2:0: result and our tips

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Ayla AksuWTA #156Elo 1598hard 1603
2:0final7:5 6:3
Himeno SakatsumeWTA #115Elo 1715hard 1711

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: SakatsumeLost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sakatsume won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ayla Aksu32%
Himeno Sakatsume68%

Elo: A. Aksu 35% · H. Sakatsume 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Aksu20%
2:1 A. Aksu14%
2:1 H. Sakatsume22%
2:0 H. Sakatsume45%

First set

Ayla Aksu38%
Himeno Sakatsume62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.566%34%61%
19.558%42%53%
20.550%50%46%
21.544%56%41%
22.540%60%37%
23.536%64%33%

Sample: 2,022 matches

Games handicap

Himeno Sakatsume −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ayla AksuHimeno Sakatsume
1Aces0
2Double faults1
82%First serves in65%
50%First-serve points won41%
50%Second-serve points won55%
7/19Break points converted5/13
6/11Service games held3/10
50%Service points won46%
54%Return points won50%
79Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. AksuTourH. Sakatsume
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held63%63%67%
Breaks of serve35%37%39%
Aces per service game0.130.20
Double faults per game0.350.22
Sets with a tie-break8%6%
Tie-breaks won2/44/7
Wins in straight sets55%73%
Matches in the sample2252

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ayla Aksu

Himeno Sakatsume

Elo over the last year

Ayla AksuHimeno Sakatsume

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. AksuH. Sakatsume
Hard court9–950%26–1662%
Clay2–250%2–250%
Grass0–02–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ayla Aksu

Himeno Sakatsume

See also