Alcala Gurri vs Moller 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 62%
Moller: 10 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Alcala Gurri 59% · E. Moller 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 70% | 30% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 62% | 39% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 46% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,331 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Max Alcala Gurri | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 4 |
| 68% | First serves in | 66% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 53% |
| 29% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 5/9 | Break points converted | 6/10 |
| 8/14 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 52% | Service points won | 54% |
| 46% | Return points won | 48% |
| 92 | Total points won | 93 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Alcala Gurri | Tour | E. Moller | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 46% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 43% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.10 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.45 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | 10/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Max Alcala Gurri
- 19/10/26WAndres Andrade#224Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:2
- 13/10/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Maia · R323:6 4:6
- 09/10/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Braga · QF7:6 2:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WPatrick Schoen#343Challenger Braga · R166:1 6:0
- 07/10/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Braga · R326:1 6:2
- 27/09/26WJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Plovdiv 4 · F6:4 6:2
- 26/09/26WCarlos Taberner#447Challenger Plovdiv 4 · SF6:4 6:3
- 25/09/26WPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF5:2
- 23/09/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R166:3 6:2
- 21/09/26WEliakim Coulibaly#379Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 6:2
Elmer Moller
- 19/10/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger Lisbon · R327:5 6:2
- 14/10/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:4 2:6
- 11/10/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Braga · F6:3 3:6 2:6
- 10/10/26WVilius Gaubas#142Challenger Braga · SF6:2 4:6 6:4
- 09/10/26WTiago Pereira#316Challenger Braga · QF5:7 6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WZsombor Piros#103Challenger Braga · R161:6 6:1 7:5
- 05/10/26WThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Braga · R327:6 5:7 6:4
- 29/09/26LCarlos Taberner#447Challenger Bari · R323:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#214Challenger Manacor · R322:6 6:4 4:6
- 24/08/26LColeman Wong#92ATP US Open · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Alcala Gurri | E. Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 2–625% |
| Clay | 36–1373% | 27–1959% |
Head to head
M. Alcala Gurri 0–2 E. Moller
- 19/11/25Winner: Elmer Moller4:6 3:6
- 02/04/25Winner: Elmer Moller3:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Max Alcala Gurri
- 19/10/26WAndres Andrade#224Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:2
Elmer Moller
- 19/10/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger Lisbon · R327:5 6:2