Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Boyer vs Moller 0:2: result and our tips

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Tristan BoyerATP #200Elo 1743clay 1745
0:2final5:7 2:6
Elmer MollerATP #163Elo 1727clay 1744

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 58%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Boyer 15 of 20, Moller 14 of 20 (tour average 59%); Moller: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost31%

Where the number comes from: market alone 34% → with the players' profiles 31%

Moller: 6 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tristan Boyer48%
Elmer Moller52%

Elo: T. Boyer 50% · E. Moller 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Boyer28%
2:1 T. Boyer19%
2:1 E. Moller20%
2:0 E. Moller33%

First set

Tristan Boyer48%
Elmer Moller52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,398 matches

Games handicap

Elmer Moller −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tristan BoyerElmer Moller
1Aces2
1Double faults4
71%First serves in69%
51%First-serve points won64%
56%Second-serve points won67%
1/7Break points converted4/7
6/10Service games held9/10
53%Service points won65%
35%Return points won47%
53Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. BoyerTourE. Moller
Service points won62%62%56%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held75%76%65%
Breaks of serve27%24%32%
Aces per service game0.320.19
Double faults per game0.190.46
Sets with a tie-break15%12%
Tie-breaks won10/2010/14
Wins in straight sets53%68%
Matches in the sample5553

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Boyer

Elmer Moller

Elo over the last year

Tristan BoyerElmer Moller

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. BoyerE. Moller
Hard court11–1346%2–625%
Clay16–1062%26–1958%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.