Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 16claybest of three sets
Boyer vs Gaubas: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tristan Boyer40%
Vilius Gaubas60%
Elo: T. Boyer 45% · V. Gaubas 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Boyer22%
2:1 T. Boyer17%
2:1 V. Gaubas22%
2:0 V. Gaubas39%
First set
Tristan Boyer42%
Vilius Gaubas58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,869 matches
Games handicap
Vilius Gaubas −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Boyer | Tour | V. Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.32 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/19 | 13/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 53 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tristan Boyer
- 13/10/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Maia · R326:4 6:2
- 05/10/26LZsombor Piros#114Challenger Braga · R322:6 7:5 4:6
- 25/09/26LTimo Legout#362Challenger San Diego 2 · QF6:2 5:7 5:7
- 24/09/26WSebastian Gorzny#413Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:4 7:6
- 22/09/26WSpencer Johnson#443Challenger San Diego 2 · R327:6 6:1
- 16/09/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Tiburon · R166:7 1:6
- 15/09/26WEdward Winter#350Challenger Tiburon · R326:2 6:4
- 25/08/26LAndre Ilagan#194ATP US Open · Q14:6 6:3 4:6
- 17/08/26LJames Watt#950Challenger Quebec City · Q16:7 2:6
- 10/08/26LAidan Mayo#341Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
Vilius Gaubas
- 13/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#232Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4
- 10/10/26LElmer Moller#181Challenger Braga · SF2:6 6:4 4:6
- 09/10/26WLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Braga · QF6:2 6:4
- 08/10/26WDuje Ajdukovic#353Challenger Braga · R165:7 7:6 6:2
- 05/10/26WJoao Domingues#584Challenger Braga · R326:1 7:5
- 08/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Seville · R322:6 6:3 0:6
- 27/08/26LHarry Wendelken#182ATP US Open · Q37:6 6:7 6:7
- 26/08/26WMarco Cecchinato#163ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:3
- 24/08/26WKilian Feldbausch#270ATP US Open · Q16:3 7:6
- 04/08/26LMax Houkes#226Challenger Hagen · R326:2 4:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Tristan BoyerVilius Gaubas
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Boyer | V. Gaubas | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1346% | 7–464% |
| Clay | 15–963% | 22–2448% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 3–175% |
Head to head
T. Boyer 0–1 V. Gaubas
- 21/05/25Winner: Vilius Gaubas5:7 3:6
Road through the tournament
Tristan Boyer
- 13/10/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Maia · R326:4 6:2
Vilius Gaubas
- 13/10/26WKimmer Coppejans#232Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4