Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Coppejans vs Gaubas 0:2: result and our tips

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Kimmer CoppejansATP #232Elo 1732clay 1716
0:2final3:6 4:6
Vilius GaubasATP #141Elo 1788clay 1757

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Coppejans 19 of 20, Gaubas 13 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Coppejans 18 of 20, Gaubas 11 of 20 (tour average 64%)

  • Match Winner: GaubasWon62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Coppejans lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 39%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Coppejans 13 of 20, Gaubas 9 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kimmer Coppejans38%
Vilius Gaubas62%

Elo: K. Coppejans 44% · V. Gaubas 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Coppejans21%
2:1 K. Coppejans16%
2:1 V. Gaubas22%
2:0 V. Gaubas40%

First set

Kimmer Coppejans41%
Vilius Gaubas60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%64%34%

Sample: 4,788 matches

Games handicap

Vilius Gaubas −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kimmer CoppejansVilius Gaubas
1Aces5
2Double faults1
59%First serves in58%
68%First-serve points won75%
46%Second-serve points won52%
1/7Break points converted3/4
6/9Service games held9/10
59%Service points won65%
35%Return points won41%
58Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. CoppejansTourV. Gaubas
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held71%76%75%
Breaks of serve33%24%26%
Aces per service game0.310.30
Double faults per game0.290.18
Sets with a tie-break13%21%
Tie-breaks won8/2013/31
Wins in straight sets68%55%
Matches in the sample6760

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kimmer Coppejans

Vilius Gaubas

Elo over the last year

Kimmer CoppejansVilius Gaubas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. CoppejansV. Gaubas
Hard court10–1245%7–464%
Clay26–1760%21–2447%
Grass1–150%3–175%

Head to head

K. Coppejans 1–0 V. Gaubas

  • 18/11/24Winner: Kimmer Coppejans1:6 6:4 6:4