Challenger BragaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Gaubas vs Mikrut 2:0: result and our tips

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Vilius GaubasATP #141Elo 1787clay 1751
2:0final6:2 6:4
Luka MikrutATP #167Elo 1877clay 1916

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: MikrutLost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mikrut won 9 of the last 10 matches; Mikrut: 7 wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Lost74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gaubas: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Vilius Gaubas32%
Luka Mikrut68%

Elo: V. Gaubas 28% · L. Mikrut 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Gaubas18%
2:1 V. Gaubas14%
2:1 L. Mikrut23%
2:0 L. Mikrut45%

First set

Vilius Gaubas37%
Luka Mikrut63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%63%34%

Sample: 4,184 matches

Games handicap

Luka Mikrut −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Vilius GaubasLuka Mikrut
2Aces3
1Double faults4
66%First serves in55%
76%First-serve points won63%
47%Second-serve points won31%
5/8Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held4/9
66%Service points won48%
52%Return points won34%
66Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. GaubasTourL. Mikrut
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held75%76%82%
Breaks of serve25%24%24%
Aces per service game0.300.46
Double faults per game0.180.18
Sets with a tie-break22%14%
Tie-breaks won13/316/12
Wins in straight sets53%52%
Matches in the sample5836

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Vilius Gaubas

Luka Mikrut

Elo over the last year

Vilius GaubasLuka Mikrut

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. GaubasL. Mikrut
Hard court7–464%5–742%
Clay20–2347%18–578%
Grass3–175%0–10%

Head to head

V. Gaubas 0–1 L. Mikrut

  • 05/10/25Winner: Luka Mikrut3:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Vilius Gaubas

Luka Mikrut

See also