Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Boyer vs Moro Canas 2:0: result and our tips

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Tristan BoyerATP #209Elo 1717clay 1717
2:0final6:4 6:2
Alejandro Moro CanasATP #233Elo 1747clay 1739

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Boyer 15 of 20, Moro Canas 13 of 20 (tour average 59%); Boyer: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tristan Boyer50%
Alejandro Moro Canas50%

Elo: T. Boyer 47% · A. Moro Canas 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Boyer30%
2:1 T. Boyer19%
2:1 A. Moro Canas20%
2:0 A. Moro Canas31%

First set

Tristan Boyer50%
Alejandro Moro Canas50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,287 matches

Games handicap

Alejandro Moro Canas −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tristan BoyerAlejandro Moro Canas
4Aces1
1Double faults0
78%First serves in64%
60%First-serve points won60%
77%Second-serve points won48%
4/8Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held5/9
64%Service points won56%
44%Return points won36%
65Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. BoyerTourA. Moro Canas
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won40%38%39%
Service games held75%76%76%
Breaks of serve27%24%27%
Aces per service game0.320.29
Double faults per game0.190.16
Sets with a tie-break15%23%
Tie-breaks won10/1921/39
Wins in straight sets54%54%
Matches in the sample5271

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Boyer

  • 05/10/26LZsombor Piros#114Challenger Braga · R322:6 7:5 4:6
  • 25/09/26LTimo Legout#362Challenger San Diego 2 · QF6:2 5:7 5:7
  • 24/09/26WSebastian Gorzny#413Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:4 7:6
  • 22/09/26WSpencer Johnson#443Challenger San Diego 2 · R327:6 6:1
  • 16/09/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Tiburon · R166:7 1:6
  • 15/09/26WEdward Winter#350Challenger Tiburon · R326:2 6:4
  • 25/08/26LAndre Ilagan#194ATP US Open · Q14:6 6:3 4:6
  • 17/08/26LJames Watt#950Challenger Quebec City · Q16:7 2:6
  • 10/08/26LAidan Mayo#341Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
  • 09/08/26WMatthew Forbes#764Challenger Brownsburg · Q16:2 1:6 6:2

Alejandro Moro Canas

Elo over the last year

Tristan BoyerAlejandro Moro Canas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. BoyerA. Moro Canas
Hard court11–1346%18–1260%
Clay14–961%21–1755%
Grass3–260%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.