Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Giunta vs Moro Canas 1:2: result and our tips

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Massimo GiuntaATP #390Elo 1638clay 1623
1:2final4:6 7:6(2) 6:7(10)
Alejandro Moro CanasATP #233Elo 1754clay 1748

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 59%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Giunta 15 of 20, Moro Canas 12 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Moro CanasWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Moro Canas won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 46%

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Giunta 11 of 20, Moro Canas 10 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Massimo Giunta30%
Alejandro Moro Canas70%

Elo: M. Giunta 33% · A. Moro Canas 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Giunta17%
2:1 M. Giunta14%
2:1 A. Moro Canas23%
2:0 A. Moro Canas47%

First set

Massimo Giunta36%
Alejandro Moro Canas65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.576%24%68%
19.567%33%59%
20.559%41%52%
21.553%47%47%
22.546%54%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 3,910 matches

Games handicap

Alejandro Moro Canas −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Massimo GiuntaAlejandro Moro Canas
9Aces5
2Double faults0
59%First serves in65%
69%First-serve points won77%
70%Second-serve points won63%
1/3Break points converted2/4
15/17Service games held16/17
70%Service points won72%
28%Return points won30%
117Total points won120

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GiuntaTourA. Moro Canas
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held83%76%75%
Breaks of serve20%24%27%
Aces per service game0.530.29
Double faults per game0.200.16
Sets with a tie-break24%21%
Tie-breaks won6/1419/35
Wins in straight sets77%55%
Matches in the sample2569

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Massimo Giunta

Alejandro Moro Canas

Elo over the last year

Massimo GiuntaAlejandro Moro Canas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GiuntaA. Moro Canas
Hard court6–555%18–1260%
Clay7–750%20–1656%
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

M. Giunta 0–1 A. Moro Canas

  • 21/07/26Winner: Alejandro Moro Canas6:7 7:5 4:6

Road through the tournament

Massimo Giunta

Alejandro Moro Canas

See also