Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Dodig vs Boyer 2:0: result and our tips

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Matej DodigATP #174Elo 1903clay 1906
2:0final6:4 7:6(4)
Tristan BoyerATP #209Elo 1752clay 1755

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DodigWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dodig won 9 of the last 10 matches; Dodig: 7 wins in a row

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoLost67%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 67%

    Dodig: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Matej Dodig68%
Tristan Boyer32%

Elo: M. Dodig 70% · T. Boyer 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Dodig45%
2:1 M. Dodig23%
2:1 T. Boyer14%
2:0 T. Boyer18%

First set

Matej Dodig63%
Tristan Boyer37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.559%41%52%
21.553%47%47%
22.546%54%40%
23.541%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,251 matches

Games handicap

Matej Dodig −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Matej DodigTristan Boyer
3Aces2
1Double faults3
62%First serves in67%
69%First-serve points won64%
53%Second-serve points won42%
3/10Break points converted2/12
9/11Service games held8/11
63%Service points won56%
44%Return points won37%
87Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DodigTourT. Boyer
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held82%76%76%
Breaks of serve23%24%27%
Aces per service game0.560.32
Double faults per game0.170.19
Sets with a tie-break17%14%
Tie-breaks won16/2810/19
Wins in straight sets53%53%
Matches in the sample7054

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matej Dodig

Tristan Boyer

Elo over the last year

Matej DodigTristan Boyer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DodigT. Boyer
Hard court14–1156%11–1346%
Clay32–1174%16–964%
Grass1–150%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matej Dodig

Tristan Boyer