Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 16claybest of three sets

Dodig vs Neumayer: prediction and tips

·

Matej DodigATP #174Elo 1890clay 1892
-:-
Lukas NeumayerATP #180Elo 1806clay 1812

Our tips

Tip in 11h 50m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Matej Dodig68%
Lukas Neumayer32%

Elo: M. Dodig 61% · L. Neumayer 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Dodig45%
2:1 M. Dodig23%
2:1 L. Neumayer14%
2:0 L. Neumayer18%

First set

Matej Dodig63%
Lukas Neumayer37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.566%34%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,237 matches

Games handicap

Matej Dodig −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DodigTourL. Neumayer
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held82%76%77%
Breaks of serve23%24%31%
Aces per service game0.550.25
Double faults per game0.170.18
Sets with a tie-break17%13%
Tie-breaks won16/289/21
Wins in straight sets54%64%
Matches in the sample6968

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matej Dodig

Lukas Neumayer

Elo over the last year

Matej DodigLukas Neumayer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DodigL. Neumayer
Hard court14–1156%7–847%
Clay31–1174%35–1767%
Grass1–150%0–10%

Head to head

M. Dodig 2–0 L. Neumayer

  • 10/10/26Winner: Matej Dodig6:3 6:1
  • 11/07/25Winner: Matej Dodig7:6 6:2

Road through the tournament

Matej Dodig

Lukas Neumayer