Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets
Moller vs Neumayer: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 11mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elmer Moller44%
Lukas Neumayer56%
Elo: E. Moller 45% · L. Neumayer 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 E. Moller25%
2:1 E. Moller18%
2:1 L. Neumayer21%
2:0 L. Neumayer36%
First set
Elmer Moller44%
Lukas Neumayer56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 50%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
Sample: 4,727 matches
Games handicap
Lukas Neumayer −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes21%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Moller | Tour | L. Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 66% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.46 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/14 | 9/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elmer Moller
- 11/10/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Braga · F6:3 3:6 2:6
- 10/10/26WVilius Gaubas#141Challenger Braga · SF6:2 4:6 6:4
- 09/10/26WTiago Pereira#339Challenger Braga · QF5:7 6:2 6:1
- 08/10/26WZsombor Piros#114Challenger Braga · R161:6 6:1 7:5
- 05/10/26WThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Braga · R327:6 5:7 6:4
- 29/09/26LCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Bari · R323:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Manacor · R322:6 6:4 4:6
- 24/08/26LColeman Wong#101ATP US Open · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
- 19/08/26LAnton Matusevich#314Challenger Roehampton · R161:6 3:6
- 18/08/26WIvan Ivanov#494Challenger Roehampton · R326:4 6:2
Lukas Neumayer
- 10/10/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Braga · SF3:6 1:6
- 09/10/26WMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Braga · QF6:7 6:2 6:2
- 08/10/26WOlle Wallin#423Challenger Braga · R166:2 6:2
- 07/10/26WFlorian Broska#334Challenger Braga · R324:6 6:3 6:2
- 25/09/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Genoa 2 · QF3:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#382Challenger Genoa 2 · R160:6 6:4 6:1
- 22/09/26WStefano D`Agostino#724Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:3 7:6
- 11/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Tulln · QF6:7 4:6
- 10/09/26WJuan Manuel La Serna#285Challenger Tulln · R167:5 6:7 6:1
- 08/09/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#572Challenger Tulln · R326:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Elmer MollerLukas Neumayer
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Moller | L. Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–625% | 7–847% |
| Clay | 26–1859% | 34–1767% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
E. Moller 0–2 L. Neumayer
- 04/04/25Winner: Lukas Neumayer3:6 4:6
- 06/01/25Winner: Lukas Neumayer7:6 3:6 4:6