Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Almazan Valiente vs Marti Pujolras 0:2: result and our tips

·

Izan Almazan ValienteATP #409Elo 1679clay 1687
0:2final6:7(3) 1:6
Alex Marti PujolrasATP #484Elo 1539clay 1545

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Izan Almazan Valiente56%
Alex Marti Pujolras44%

Elo: I. Almazan Valiente 69% · A. Marti Pujolras 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Almazan Valiente36%
2:1 I. Almazan Valiente21%
2:1 A. Marti Pujolras18%
2:0 A. Marti Pujolras25%

First set

Izan Almazan Valiente56%
Alex Marti Pujolras44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%61%36%

Sample: 4,777 matches

Games handicap

Izan Almazan Valiente −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Izan Almazan ValienteAlex Marti Pujolras
0Aces2
2Double faults2
70%First serves in71%
50%First-serve points won61%
55%Second-serve points won64%
2/5Break points converted4/7
5/9Service games held8/10
52%Service points won62%
38%Return points won49%
63Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Almazan ValienteTourA. Marti Pujolras
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won42%38%41%
Service games held74%76%69%
Breaks of serve34%24%30%
Aces per service game0.270.31
Double faults per game0.280.57
Sets with a tie-break11%18%
Tie-breaks won4/88/10
Wins in straight sets65%92%
Matches in the sample3025

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Izan Almazan Valiente

  • 18/10/26WAdrian Andreev#601Challenger Florence · Q16:7 6:2 7:5
  • 14/10/26LFelix Gill#227Challenger Catania · R164:6 1:6
  • 12/10/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 4:3
  • 25/09/26LAdrian Andreev#601Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF1:6 2:6
  • 24/09/26WMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:5 0:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#446Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 6:4
  • 21/09/26WGeorge Lazarov#721Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WStefan Popovic#680Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:2 6:3
  • 17/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Biella · R326:4 6:3

Alex Marti Pujolras

Elo over the last year

Izan Almazan ValienteAlex Marti Pujolras

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Almazan ValienteA. Marti Pujolras
Hard court8–467%0–10%
Clay12–667%12–1250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Izan Almazan Valiente

Alex Marti Pujolras