WTA BeijingWTA 1000Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Andreeva vs Bartunkova 2:0: result and our tips

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Mirra AndreevaWTA #3Elo 2111hard 2069
2:0final6:2 6:2
Nikola BartunkovaWTA #29Elo 2027hard 1988

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AndreevaWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreeva won 8 of the last 10 matches; Andreeva: 4 wins in a row

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: AndreevaWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreeva: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
1st Set Winner: BartunkovaLost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bartunkova: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mirra Andreeva70%
Nikola Bartunkova30%

Elo: M. Andreeva 61% · N. Bartunkova 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Andreeva48%
2:1 M. Andreeva21%
2:1 N. Bartunkova14%
2:0 N. Bartunkova17%

First set

Mirra Andreeva66%
Nikola Bartunkova34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,889 matches

Games handicap

Mirra Andreeva −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mirra AndreevaNikola Bartunkova
1Aces1
1Double faults4
63%First serves in50%
75%First-serve points won57%
71%Second-serve points won40%
5/10Break points converted1/1
7/8Service games held3/8
74%Service points won48%
52%Return points won26%
59Total points won39

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. AndreevaTourN. Bartunkova
Service points won60%56%59%
Return points won47%44%43%
Service games held74%63%70%
Breaks of serve43%37%35%
Aces per service game0.300.37
Double faults per game0.350.39
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won11/196/19
Wins in straight sets74%53%
Matches in the sample6560

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mirra Andreeva

Nikola Bartunkova

Elo over the last year

Mirra AndreevaNikola Bartunkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. AndreevaN. Bartunkova
Hard court26–1170%25–1366%
Clay22–388%5–550%
Grass1–233%8–467%

Head to head

M. Andreeva 1–0 N. Bartunkova

  • 05/09/26Winner: Mirra Andreeva6:2 7:6

Road through the tournament

Mirra Andreeva

Nikola Bartunkova

See also