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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Arutiunian vs Berkieta 0:2: result and our tips

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Erik ArutiunianATP #573Elo 1706hard 1696
0:2final2:6 5:7
Tomasz BerkietaATP #647Elo 1507hard 1506

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Erik Arutiunian69%
Tomasz Berkieta31%

Elo: E. Arutiunian 75% · T. Berkieta 25%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Arutiunian46%
2:1 E. Arutiunian22%
2:1 T. Berkieta14%
2:0 T. Berkieta18%

First set

Erik Arutiunian64%
Tomasz Berkieta36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 54%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%63%35%

Sample: 4,988 matches

Games handicap

E. Arutiunian −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Erik ArutiunianTomasz Berkieta
7Aces11
8Double faults4
49%First serves in61%
74%First-serve points won87%
39%Second-serve points won54%
0/3Break points converted3/7
7/10Service games held10/10
56%Service points won74%
26%Return points won44%
59Total points won79

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ArutiunianTourT. Berkieta
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held79%76%76%
Breaks of serve21%24%25%
Aces per service game0.650.44
Double faults per game0.260.42
Sets with a tie-break16%12%
Tie-breaks won7/81/5
Wins in straight sets80%88%
Matches in the sample2419

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Erik Arutiunian

Tomasz Berkieta

  • 05/08/26LMichele Ribecai#265Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R165:7 4:6
  • 03/08/26WFacundo Mena#193Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R326:3 7:6
  • 27/07/26LNorbert Gombos#370Challenger Liberec · Q26:7 1:6
  • 26/07/26WDominik KellovskyChallenger Liberec · Q16:4 6:4
  • 24/06/26LTommaso Compagnucci#371Challenger Plovdiv · R163:6 3:6
  • 23/06/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#448Challenger Plovdiv · R326:2 6:1
  • 22/06/26WAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv · Q26:1 6:2
  • 21/06/26WEdison AmbarzumjanChallenger Plovdiv · Q16:4 6:1
  • 16/06/26LGonzalo Bueno#197Challenger Poznan · R326:7 3:6
  • 31/05/26LAndrej Martin#346Challenger Prostejov · Q12:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Erik ArutiunianTomasz Berkieta

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ArutiunianT. Berkieta
Hard court15–963%2–340%
Clay0–06–843%

Head to head

They have not met yet.