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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Badosa vs Kraus 2:0: result and our tips

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Paula BadosaWTA #61Elo 1922hard 1898
2:0final6:1 6:4
Sinja KrausWTA #77Elo 1798hard 1758

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Paula Badosa70%
Sinja Kraus30%

Elo: P. Badosa 69% · S. Kraus 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Badosa48%
2:1 P. Badosa21%
2:1 S. Kraus14%
2:0 S. Kraus17%

First set

Paula Badosa66%
Sinja Kraus34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%61%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,946 matches

Games handicap

P. Badosa −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Paula BadosaSinja Kraus
7Aces1
4Double faults3
58%First serves in56%
79%First-serve points won61%
52%Second-serve points won41%
4/8Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held4/8
68%Service points won52%
48%Return points won32%
58Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. BadosaTourS. Kraus
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won45%44%47%
Service games held67%63%62%
Breaks of serve37%37%45%
Aces per service game0.360.14
Double faults per game0.590.31
Sets with a tie-break13%8%
Tie-breaks won7/147/13
Wins in straight sets75%67%
Matches in the sample4975

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Paula Badosa

Sinja Kraus

Elo over the last year

Paula BadosaSinja Kraus

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. BadosaS. Kraus
Hard court13–1252%22–1559%
Clay13–668%24–777%
Grass2–340%3–443%

Head to head

P. Badosa 1–0 S. Kraus

  • 12/03/26Winner: P. Badosa7:5 6:1

Road through the tournament

Paula Badosa

Sinja Kraus