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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Bar Biryukov vs Pankin 2:1: result and our tips

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Petr Bar BiryukovATP #331Elo 1583hard 1601
2:1final6:7(1) 7:6(5) 6:4
Semen PankinATP #432Elo 1519hard 1517

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bar Biryukov: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Lost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Pankin: 7 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Petr Bar Biryukov49%
Semen Pankin51%

Elo: P. Bar Biryukov 62% · S. Pankin 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Bar Biryukov30%
2:1 P. Bar Biryukov19%
2:1 S. Pankin19%
2:0 S. Pankin31%

First set

Petr Bar Biryukov49%
Semen Pankin51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,247 matches

Games handicap

S. Pankin −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Petr Bar BiryukovSemen Pankin
19Aces5
8Double faults0
62%First serves in61%
79%First-serve points won77%
55%Second-serve points won74%
2/5Break points converted1/3
16/17Service games held15/17
70%Service points won76%
25%Return points won30%
100Total points won107

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. Bar BiryukovTourS. Pankin
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won32%38%37%
Service games held80%76%76%
Breaks of serve16%24%23%
Aces per service game0.820.45
Double faults per game0.410.29
Sets with a tie-break22%11%
Tie-breaks won15/263/6
Wins in straight sets58%82%
Matches in the sample5124

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Semen Pankin

Elo over the last year

Petr Bar BiryukovSemen Pankin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. Bar BiryukovS. Pankin
Hard court22–2052%11–1346%
Clay2–529%0–0
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Petr Bar Biryukov

First match in this tournament.

Semen Pankin

See also