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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pankin vs Pleshivtsev 2:0: result and our tips

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Semen PankinATP #432Elo 1489hard 1488
2:0final6:3 6:4
Egor PleshivtsevATP #783Elo 1457hard 1459

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pankin: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Semen Pankin60%
Egor Pleshivtsev40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Pankin39%
2:1 S. Pankin21%
2:1 E. Pleshivtsev16%
2:0 E. Pleshivtsev24%

First set

Semen Pankin57%
Egor Pleshivtsev43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,935 matches

Games handicap

S. Pankin −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Semen PankinEgor Pleshivtsev
4Aces8
1Double faults2
64%First serves in55%
62%First-serve points won66%
59%Second-serve points won38%
4/8Break points converted2/5
8/10Service games held5/9
61%Service points won53%
47%Return points won39%
75Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. PankinTourE. Pleshivtsev
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won37%38%36%
Service games held76%76%75%
Breaks of serve22%24%21%
Aces per service game0.450.51
Double faults per game0.300.27
Sets with a tie-break11%29%
Tie-breaks won3/61/2
Wins in straight sets80%0%
Matches in the sample233

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Semen Pankin

  • 25/10/26WMaxim Zhukov#824Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 7:6
  • 19/10/26LDominik Palan#603Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WXi Cheng HuangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:2 6:1
  • 11/10/26LYosuke Watanuki#374Challenger Jinan · Q11:6 0:6
  • 05/10/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Wuning 3 · R325:7 4:6
  • 29/09/26LAlex Bolt#175Challenger Jingshan · R323:6 2:6
  • 14/09/26LElias Ymer#227Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 5:7 3:6
  • 07/09/26LAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
  • 31/08/26LYosuke Watanuki#374Challenger Zhangjiagang · R323:6 5:7
  • 12/08/26LFajing Sun#292Challenger Astana · R166:4 6:7 3:6

Egor Pleshivtsev

Elo over the last year

Semen PankinEgor Pleshivtsev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. PankinE. Pleshivtsev
Hard court10–1343%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Semen Pankin

Egor Pleshivtsev