Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Barranco Cosano vs Nijboer 0:2: result and our tips

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Javier Barranco CosanoATP #577Elo 1631clay 1622
0:2final3:6 2:6
Ryan NijboerATP #417Elo 1599clay 1600

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Javier Barranco Cosano47%
Ryan Nijboer53%

Elo: J. Barranco Cosano 53% · R. Nijboer 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Barranco Cosano28%
2:1 J. Barranco Cosano19%
2:1 R. Nijboer20%
2:0 R. Nijboer33%

First set

Javier Barranco Cosano47%
Ryan Nijboer53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,400 matches

Games handicap

Ryan Nijboer −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Javier Barranco CosanoRyan Nijboer
2Aces4
5Double faults2
50%First serves in65%
53%First-serve points won75%
50%Second-serve points won59%
1/2Break points converted5/10
4/9Service games held7/8
52%Service points won69%
31%Return points won48%
48Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Barranco CosanoTourR. Nijboer
Service points won58%62%62%
Return points won44%38%41%
Service games held68%76%77%
Breaks of serve36%24%30%
Aces per service game0.200.36
Double faults per game0.410.25
Sets with a tie-break6%8%
Tie-breaks won1/32/5
Wins in straight sets58%59%
Matches in the sample2228

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Javier Barranco Cosano

  • 07/10/26LOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Braga · R326:1 4:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26WNicolas Barrientos#948Challenger Braga · Q26:3 1:0
  • 04/10/26WHugo MaiaChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 21/09/26LJohn Sperle#667Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:7 2:1
  • 20/09/26WElia RuffinoChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:2 6:3
  • 19/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Prague · R164:6 3:6
  • 18/08/26WMartin Krumich#257Challenger Prague · R322:6 6:4 6:4
  • 17/08/26WAndrej Martin#387Challenger Prague · Q26:4 5:7 6:4
  • 16/08/26WMatyas KozlovskyChallenger Prague · Q17:5 6:4
  • 10/03/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#291Challenger Hersonissos 2 · R322:6 2:4

Ryan Nijboer

  • 08/10/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Braga · R163:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#169Challenger Braga · R326:1 4:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Braga · Q26:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WNico Hipfl#740Challenger Braga · Q15:7 7:5 6:1
  • 22/09/26LFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 21/09/26LAlejandro Juan Mano#593Challenger Genoa 2 · Q26:4 3:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WIannis Miletich#972Challenger Genoa 2 · Q16:3 6:3
  • 19/08/26LTommaso Compagnucci#372Challenger Sion · R163:6 2:6
  • 18/08/26WMurkel Dellien#407Challenger Sion · R326:2 6:1
  • 09/08/26LJannik Opitz#828Challenger Hamburg · Q13:6 6:2 3:6

Elo over the last year

Javier Barranco CosanoRyan Nijboer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Barranco CosanoR. Nijboer
Hard court6–650%0–10%
Clay6–460%17–1063%

Head to head

They have not met yet.