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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bernet vs Altmaier 0:2: result and our tips

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Henry BernetATP #361Elo 1713hard 1677
0:2final5:7 6:7(5)
Daniel AltmaierATP #60Elo 1900hard 1842

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Henry Bernet43%
Daniel Altmaier57%

Elo: H. Bernet 28% · D. Altmaier 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Bernet24%
2:1 H. Bernet19%
2:1 D. Altmaier21%
2:0 D. Altmaier36%

First set

Henry Bernet45%
Daniel Altmaier55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.568%32%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.548%52%40%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%35%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,827 matches

Games handicap

D. Altmaier −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Henry BernetDaniel Altmaier
12Aces7
5Double faults0
58%First serves in75%
84%First-serve points won74%
50%Second-serve points won62%
0/3Break points converted1/3
11/12Service games held12/12
70%Service points won71%
29%Return points won30%
77Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. BernetTourD. Altmaier
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held80%76%77%
Breaks of serve19%24%19%
Aces per service game0.480.58
Double faults per game0.260.24
Sets with a tie-break14%18%
Tie-breaks won4/1112/26
Wins in straight sets67%56%
Matches in the sample3459

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Henry Bernet

  • 13/10/26LClement Tabur#161Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:3 3:6
  • 12/10/26WThijs Boogaard#473Challenger Roanne · Q26:4 7:5
  • 11/10/26WMaximilian NeuchristChallenger Roanne · Q17:6 6:2
  • 03/10/26LClement Chidekh#134Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF2:6 4:6
  • 02/10/26WFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF3:6 6:2 6:3
  • 01/10/26WDominic Stricker#253Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:1 7:6
  • 30/09/26WDaniil Glinka#157Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:4 6:4
  • 07/09/26LDiego Dedura#184Challenger Tulln · Q26:4 3:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLuca Wiedenmann#484Challenger Tulln · Q16:2 6:3
  • 02/09/26LMatej Dodig#138Challenger Como · R167:6 6:7 5:7

Daniel Altmaier

Elo over the last year

Henry BernetDaniel Altmaier

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. BernetD. Altmaier
Hard court6–940%10–1540%
Clay9–1047%13–1350%
Grass0–04–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.