Berrettini vs Etcheverry 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 49% → with the players' profiles 59%
Berrettini: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Other tips
- Match Winner: BerrettiniWon62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Etcheverry lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 33%
Etcheverry: 3 matches in a row over 27.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Berrettini 63% · T. Etcheverry 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 25.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 72% | 28% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 59% | 41% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,820 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 23.0out · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Matteo Berrettini | Tomás Martín Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 74% | First serves in | 59% |
| 83% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 2/3 | Break points converted | 0/6 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 73% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 27% |
| 59 | Total points won | 49 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Berrettini | Tour | T. Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 25% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/28 | 17/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matteo Berrettini
- 20/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Lyon · R326:7 5:7
- 09/10/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Shanghai · R646:7 5:7
- 07/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 6:1 6:4
- 03/10/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Tokyo · R166:7 1:6
- 01/10/26WAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#15ATP Tokyo · R321:6 7:6 6:4
- 02/09/26LMariano Navone#43ATP US Open · R646:3 3:6 4:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP US Open · R1287:6 7:6 6:0
- 15/08/26LJiří Lehečka#21ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 7:6 3:6
- 14/08/26WTitouan Droguet#72ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:1 6:4
- 03/08/26LMariano Navone#43ATP Montreal · R1283:6 7:6 3:6
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
- 21/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Almaty · R326:7 6:2 4:6
- 10/10/26LDalibor Svrcina#120ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 5:7
- 01/10/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#33ATP Tokyo · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Hangzhou · R162:6 3:6
- 06/09/26LAlex Michelsen#34ATP US Open · R166:7 4:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WMariano Navone#43ATP US Open · R326:4 6:4 6:3
- 02/09/26WJacob Fearnley#86ATP US Open · R646:3 6:3 3:6 6:3
- 30/08/26WVit Kopriva#64ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:4 6:0
- 15/08/26LTerence Atmane#90ATP Cincinnati · R643:6 6:7
- 05/08/26LNuno Borges#53ATP Montreal · R644:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Berrettini | T. Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–950% | 10–1540% |
| Clay | 12–1055% | 18–1064% |
| Grass | 2–167% | 0–30% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.