Bellucci vs Etcheverry 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Bellucci 58% · T. Etcheverry 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 72% | 28% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 65% | 36% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 58% | 42% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 43% | 57% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,329 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 23.0in · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Mattia Bellucci | Tomás Martín Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Aces | 10 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 69% | First serves in | 67% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 65% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 2/9 |
| 13/15 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 67% | Service points won | 74% |
| 26% | Return points won | 33% |
| 93 | Total points won | 103 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bellucci | Tour | T. Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/25 | 17/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mattia Bellucci
- 18/10/26WMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · F6:2 4:6 6:3
- 17/10/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129Challenger Jinan · SF6:2 7:6
- 16/10/26WAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 6:4
- 15/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R166:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#228Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 07/10/26LYi Zhou#280ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:3 6:7
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#131ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#228ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#104Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#284Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
- 10/10/26LDalibor Svrcina#119ATP Shanghai · R643:6 6:3 5:7
- 01/10/26LStefanos Tsitsipas#39ATP Tokyo · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Hangzhou · R162:6 3:6
- 06/09/26LAlex Michelsen#37ATP US Open · R166:7 4:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WMariano Navone#45ATP US Open · R326:4 6:4 6:3
- 02/09/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP US Open · R646:3 6:3 3:6 6:3
- 30/08/26WVit Kopriva#66ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:4 6:0
- 15/08/26LTerence Atmane#98ATP Cincinnati · R643:6 6:7
- 05/08/26LNuno Borges#52ATP Montreal · R644:6 2:6
- 28/07/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Washington · R323:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bellucci | T. Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1860% | 12–1544% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 18–1064% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 0–30% |
Head to head
M. Bellucci 1–0 T. Etcheverry
- 09/05/26Winner: Mattia Bellucci5:7 6:2 6:3