Pavlovic vs Bellucci: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 2h 57mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: L. Pavlovic 29% · M. Bellucci 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 32% | 68% | 35% |
Sample: 3,063 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Pavlovic | Tour | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.80 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.35 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/26 | 11/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luka Pavlovic
- 14/10/26WTristan Schoolkate#155Challenger Jinan · R327:5 6:4
- 12/10/26WKangyuan ShiChallenger Jinan · Q26:1 6:1
- 11/10/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Jinan · Q17:5 6:3
- 05/10/26LIlia Simakin#154ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 4:6 1:6
- 01/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · R162:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
- 22/09/26LAlexandre Muller#133ATP Chengdu · Q14:6 7:6 3:6
- 16/09/26LHunter Heck#605Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:3 1:6 6:7
- 15/09/26WHa Minh Duc VuChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 6:3
- 26/08/26LJacob Fearnley#96ATP US Open · Q24:6 7:6 4:6
Mattia Bellucci
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#192Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 07/10/26LYi Zhou#277ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:3 6:7
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
- 29/09/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:2
- 28/09/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Pavlovic | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1355% | 23–1955% |
| Clay | 11–1346% | 7–750% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 5–456% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Luka Pavlovic
- 11/10/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Jinan · Q17:5 6:3
- 12/10/26WKangyuan ShiChallenger Jinan · Q26:1 6:1
- 14/10/26WTristan Schoolkate#155Challenger Jinan · R327:5 6:4
Mattia Bellucci
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#192Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1