Challenger JinanChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Shevchenko vs Bellucci: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 23mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko38%
Mattia Bellucci62%
Elo: A. Shevchenko 38% · M. Bellucci 62%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 A. Shevchenko25%
2:1 A. Shevchenko15%
2:1 M. Bellucci20%
2:0 M. Bellucci40%
First set
Alexander Shevchenko42%
Mattia Bellucci58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 66% | 32% |
Sample: 15,256 matches
Games handicap
Mattia Bellucci −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes40%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Shevchenko | Tour | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/32 | 11/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexander Shevchenko
- 15/10/26WJay Friend#260Challenger Jinan · R166:0 6:4
- 13/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 05/10/26LYoshihito Nishioka#218ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Chengdu · R323:6 6:7
- 30/08/26LDino Prizmic#97ATP US Open · R1286:2 3:6 3:6 7:5 5:7
- 14/08/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Cincinnati · R1284:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#117ATP Cincinnati · Q24:6 1:6
- 11/08/26WPablo Llamas Ruiz#144ATP Cincinnati · Q16:3 6:4
- 01/08/26LKyrian Jacquet#76ATP Montreal · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
- 21/07/26LJan-Lennard Struff#59ATP Kitzbuhel · R326:3 6:7 4:6
Mattia Bellucci
- 15/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R166:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#192Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 07/10/26LYi Zhou#277ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:3 6:7
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#192ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#98Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
- 29/09/26WKeisuke Saitoh#550Challenger Jingshan · Q26:2 6:2
Elo over the last year
Alexander ShevchenkoMattia Bellucci
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Shevchenko | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1844% | 24–1956% |
| Clay | 14–1254% | 7–750% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 5–456% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alexander Shevchenko
- 13/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 15/10/26WJay Friend#260Challenger Jinan · R166:0 6:4
Mattia Bellucci
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#192Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 15/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R166:4 6:4