Bellucci vs Mochizuki 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bellucci won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Mochizuki lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: BellucciWon75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bellucci won 8 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Mochizuki: 3 matches in a row with a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Bellucci 67% · S. Mochizuki 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,872 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.0out · 21 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Mattia Bellucci | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 7 |
| 69% | First serves in | 50% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 71% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 0/4 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 76% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 24% |
| 88 | Total points won | 63 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Bellucci | Tour | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.40 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/25 | 14/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mattia Bellucci
- 16/10/26WAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 6:4
- 15/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R166:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#228Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 07/10/26LYi Zhou#280ATP Shanghai · R1284:6 6:3 6:7
- 06/10/26WAlexandre Muller#131ATP Shanghai · Q26:4 6:2
- 05/10/26WElias Ymer#228ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:5 7:6
- 04/10/26LLloyd Harris#104Challenger Jingshan · F6:1 3:6 6:7
- 03/10/26WYanki Erel#284Challenger Jingshan · SF6:4 6:4
- 01/10/26WAdam Walton#97Challenger Jingshan · R167:5 6:2
- 30/09/26WAlexandre Muller#131Challenger Jingshan · R326:0 6:3
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 16/10/26WYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 6:2 7:6
- 15/10/26WDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jinan · R166:3 7:6
- 13/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#71Challenger Jinan · R326:2 7:6
- 06/10/26LRoman Safiullin#70ATP Shanghai · Q22:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WTaro Daniel#179ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:2 6:2
- 28/09/26LJaime Faria#56ATP Tokyo · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LMartin Damm Jr#107ATP Chengdu · R321:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WPavel Kotov#172ATP Chengdu · Q27:5 6:3
- 22/09/26WLinang XiaoATP Chengdu · Q17:5 4:6 7:5
- 15/09/26LPavel Kotov#172Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Bellucci | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 25–1957% | 18–2641% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 0–30% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mattia Bellucci
- 13/10/26WElias Ymer#228Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:1
- 15/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Jinan · R166:4 6:4
- 16/10/26WAlexander Shevchenko#108Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 6:4
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 13/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#71Challenger Jinan · R326:2 7:6
- 15/10/26WDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jinan · R166:3 7:6
- 16/10/26WYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 6:2 7:6