ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Bertola vs Cina 1:2: result and our tips

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Remy BertolaATP #219Elo 1707hard 1670
1:2final6:3 6:7(6) 6:7(4)
Federico CinaATP #135Elo 1780hard 1762

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Cina: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: CinaLost58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Cina: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Bertola 11 of 20, Cina 10 of 20 (tour average 39%); Bertola: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Remy Bertola38%
Federico Cina62%

Elo: R. Bertola 37% · F. Cina 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Bertola22%
2:1 R. Bertola17%
2:1 F. Cina22%
2:0 F. Cina39%

First set

Remy Bertola42%
Federico Cina58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%36%60%
21.559%41%54%
22.551%49%46%
23.544%56%39%
24.542%58%38%
25.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,765 matches

Games handicap

Federico Cina −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Remy BertolaFederico Cina
13Aces5
4Double faults1
66%First serves in66%
74%First-serve points won74%
51%Second-serve points won56%
2/5Break points converted1/9
16/17Service games held14/16
66%Service points won68%
32%Return points won34%
121Total points won121

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. BertolaTourF. Cina
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%26%
Aces per service game0.450.39
Double faults per game0.330.22
Sets with a tie-break19%11%
Tie-breaks won15/296/18
Wins in straight sets60%65%
Matches in the sample6668

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Remy Bertola

Federico Cina

Elo over the last year

Remy BertolaFederico Cina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. BertolaF. Cina
Hard court18–1850%24–1463%
Clay10–1050%15–1354%
Grass7–370%1–150%

Head to head

R. Bertola 1–0 F. Cina

  • 15/10/24Winner: Remy Bertola6:4 6:7 7:5

Road through the tournament

Remy Bertola

Federico Cina