Skip to content
WTA OsakaWTA 250Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Boulter vs Ruzic 2:1: result and our tips

·

Katie BoulterWTA #48Elo 1845hard 1820
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:3
Antonia RuzicWTA #84Elo 1735hard 1715

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruzic: 11 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ruzic: 13 matches in a row without a tie-break

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Boulter: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Boulter 10 of 20, Ruzic 9 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katie Boulter63%
Antonia Ruzic37%

Elo: K. Boulter 65% · A. Ruzic 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Boulter40%
2:1 K. Boulter22%
2:1 A. Ruzic16%
2:0 A. Ruzic23%

First set

Katie Boulter59%
Antonia Ruzic42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,348 matches

Games handicap

K. Boulter −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katie BoulterAntonia Ruzic
4Aces2
5Double faults5
58%First serves in72%
65%First-serve points won56%
46%Second-serve points won38%
7/10Break points converted5/9
8/13Service games held7/14
57%Service points won51%
49%Return points won43%
91Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. BoulterTourA. Ruzic
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won44%44%43%
Service games held66%63%63%
Breaks of serve35%37%35%
Aces per service game0.220.15
Double faults per game0.500.28
Sets with a tie-break10%5%
Tie-breaks won5/101/7
Wins in straight sets58%46%
Matches in the sample4557

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katie Boulter

Antonia Ruzic

Elo over the last year

Katie BoulterAntonia Ruzic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. BoulterA. Ruzic
Hard court16–1257%20–1951%
Clay5–645%3–633%
Grass3–350%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Katie Boulter

Antonia Ruzic

See also