Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Broska vs Perez Contri 2:1: result and our tips

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Florian BroskaATP #334Elo 1621clay 1609
2:1final6:3 2:6 7:6(1)
Sergi Perez ContriATP #446Elo 1512clay 1512

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Florian Broska67%
Sergi Perez Contri33%

Elo: F. Broska 64% · S. Perez Contri 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Broska44%
2:1 F. Broska23%
2:1 S. Perez Contri15%
2:0 S. Perez Contri19%

First set

Florian Broska63%
Sergi Perez Contri38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,341 matches

Games handicap

Florian Broska −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Florian BroskaSergi Perez Contri
4Aces2
1Double faults7
63%First serves in59%
69%First-serve points won74%
56%Second-serve points won44%
3/4Break points converted3/11
11/14Service games held12/15
64%Service points won62%
39%Return points won36%
99Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BroskaTourS. Perez Contri
Service points won64%62%58%
Return points won38%38%44%
Service games held82%76%68%
Breaks of serve22%24%35%
Aces per service game0.390.18
Double faults per game0.210.44
Sets with a tie-break24%16%
Tie-breaks won8/173/5
Wins in straight sets38%67%
Matches in the sample2813

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Florian Broska

Sergi Perez Contri

  • 11/10/26WTiago Cacao#649Challenger Maia · Q12:6 6:3 6:1
  • 04/10/26LNicolas Barrientos#948Challenger Braga · Q16:7 6:1 4:6
  • 06/09/26LAlexander Ritschard#563Challenger Seville · Q17:6 4:6 4:6
  • 08/04/26LJurij Rodionov#140Challenger Madrid · R166:7 7:6 3:6
  • 06/04/26WArthur Gea#56Challenger Madrid · R326:2 3:6 6:1
  • 22/03/26LBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Montemar · Q13:6 5:7
  • 18/03/26LKyrian Jacquet#76Challenger Zadar · R162:6 0:6
  • 17/03/26WJosip Simundza#850Challenger Zadar · R326:1 6:1
  • 16/03/26WMirza Basic#925Challenger Zadar · Q26:0 7:6
  • 15/03/26WBen Jones#777Challenger Zadar · Q16:2 6:0

Elo over the last year

Florian BroskaSergi Perez Contri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BroskaS. Perez Contri
Hard court5–550%0–0
Clay11–761%6–746%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Florian Broska

Sergi Perez Contri