Challenger HelsinkiChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Cadenasso vs Fearnley: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso10%
Jacob Fearnley90%
Elo: G. Cadenasso 15% · J. Fearnley 85%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Cadenasso6%
2:1 G. Cadenasso5%
2:1 J. Fearnley18%
2:0 J. Fearnley71%
First set
Gianluca Cadenasso19%
Jacob Fearnley81%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no78%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%
The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 81% | 19% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 71% | 29% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 61% | 39% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 51% | 49% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 43% | 57% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 37% | 63% | 55% |
| 21.5 | 31% | 69% | 49% |
Sample: 1,655 matches
Games handicap
J. Fearnley −5.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Cadenasso | Tour | J. Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.44 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/12 | 14/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 10/11/26LMika Petkovic#389Challenger Monastir · R326:7 2:6
- 05/11/26LJay Clarke#243Challenger Taranto · R162:6 4:6
- 03/11/26WFlorent Bax#292Challenger Taranto · R327:5 6:2
- 20/10/26LSandro Kopp#307Challenger Florence · R326:7 1:6
- 18/10/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#278Challenger Catania · F6:4 3:6 6:4
- 17/10/26WMassimo Giunta#369Challenger Catania · SF6:2 6:3
- 16/10/26WMarvin Moeller#229Challenger Catania · QF7:5 4:6 7:6
- 15/10/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Catania · R167:5 6:4
- 13/10/26WKai Wehnelt#645Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 6:4
- 07/10/26LMassimo Giunta#369Challenger Palermo · R166:7 5:7
Jacob Fearnley
- 08/11/26LAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Stockholm · Q22:6 4:6
- 07/11/26WArthur Nagel#363ATP Stockholm · Q16:0 6:2
- 26/10/26LArthur Fery#33ATP Vienna · R321:5
- 25/10/26WLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Vienna · Q26:1 6:7 6:4
- 24/10/26WPablo Carreno Busta#77ATP Vienna · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
- 21/10/26LClement Chidekh#129ATP Brussels · R166:7 2:6
- 20/10/26WHugo Gaston#109ATP Brussels · R326:3 6:0
- 18/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#90Challenger Olbia · F6:7 3:6
- 17/10/26WLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · SF6:2 6:4
- 16/10/26WMaxim Mrva#226Challenger Olbia · QF6:0 7:6
Elo over the last year
Gianluca CadenassoJacob Fearnley
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Cadenasso | J. Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–233% | 24–2153% |
| Clay | 26–1958% | 2–340% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 11–473% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Upcoming matches
- Kimmer Coppejans vs Adrian Oetzbach, · Challenger Helsinki
- Aaron Funk vs Carlo Alberto Caniato, · Challenger Helsinki
- Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin, · Challenger Helsinki
- Mili Poljicak vs Jay Friend, · Challenger Kobe
- Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Tomida, · Challenger Kobe
- Yosuke Watanuki vs Jie Cui, · Challenger Kobe