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Challenger MonastirChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Petkovic vs Cadenasso: prediction and tips

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Mika PetkovicATP #387Elo 1565hard 1538
-:-
Gianluca CadenassoATP #215Elo 1747hard 1634

Our tips

Tip in 1d 16h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Mika Petkovic37%
Gianluca Cadenasso63%

Elo: M. Petkovic 37% · G. Cadenasso 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Petkovic22%
2:1 M. Petkovic16%
2:1 G. Cadenasso22%
2:0 G. Cadenasso41%

First set

Mika Petkovic41%
Gianluca Cadenasso59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%57%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,960 matches

Games handicap

G. Cadenasso −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. PetkovicTourG. Cadenasso
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held72%76%71%
Breaks of serve28%24%33%
Aces per service game0.220.24
Double faults per game0.250.23
Sets with a tie-break17%10%
Tie-breaks won5/125/11
Wins in straight sets79%56%
Matches in the sample3048

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mika Petkovic

  • 28/09/26LVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Bari · R322:6 1:6
  • 25/09/26LFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Genoa 2 · QF4:6 7:5 2:6
  • 24/09/26WRaul Brancaccio#221Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:4 7:6
  • 22/09/26WThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Genoa 2 · R324:6 6:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26LFelix Gill#228Challenger Biella · R326:7 3:6
  • 08/09/26LAndrea Pellegrino#140Challenger Genoa · R326:7 4:6
  • 07/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#473Challenger Genoa · Q23:6 6:3 6:7
  • 06/09/26WDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Genoa · Q16:2 6:2
  • 02/09/26LThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Porto · R161:6 6:4 2:6
  • 31/08/26WTiago Torres#378Challenger Porto · R324:6 7:5 7:5

Gianluca Cadenasso

Elo over the last year

Mika PetkovicGianluca Cadenasso

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. PetkovicG. Cadenasso
Hard court2–167%1–150%
Clay12–1544%26–1958%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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