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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Budkov Kjaer vs Gueymard Wayenburg: prediction and tips

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Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #182Elo 1757hard 1746
-:-
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #187Elo 1754hard 1752

Our tips

Tip in 19h 54m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer59%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg42%

Elo: N. Budkov Kjaer 49% · S. Gueymard Wayenburg 51%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer38%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer21%
2:1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg17%
2:0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg25%

First set

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer56%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,092 matches

Games handicap

N. Budkov Kjaer −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Budkov KjaerTourS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held76%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.380.63
Double faults per game0.210.28
Sets with a tie-break16%16%
Tie-breaks won12/2811/22
Wins in straight sets50%68%
Matches in the sample7061

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Elo over the last year

Nicolai Budkov KjaerSascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Budkov KjaerS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Hard court25–2154%20–1557%
Clay9–950%11–1542%
Grass2–433%0–0

Head to head

N. Budkov Kjaer 1–1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg

  • 21/07/26Winner: S. Gueymard Wayenburg6:7 3:6
  • 27/07/25Winner: N. Budkov Kjaer7:6 6:7 6:2

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