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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Vasa vs Gueymard Wayenburg 0:2: result and our tips

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Eero VasaATP #478Elo 1576hard 1535
0:2final3:6 4:6
Sascha Gueymard WayenburgATP #187Elo 1757hard 1759

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gueymard Wayenburg: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Set Betting: Gueymard Wayenburg 2-0Won67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vasa lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Gueymard Wayenburg won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in recent matches: Vasa 13 of 20, Gueymard Wayenburg 17 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Eero Vasa16%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg85%

Elo: E. Vasa 22% · S. Gueymard Wayenburg 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Vasa8%
2:1 E. Vasa7%
2:1 S. Gueymard Wayenburg20%
2:0 S. Gueymard Wayenburg64%

First set

Eero Vasa23%
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 59%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.541%59%49%
22.534%66%42%
23.529%71%37%

Sample: 2,293 matches

Games handicap

S. Gueymard Wayenburg −4.557%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Eero VasaSascha Gueymard Wayenburg
3Aces10
—Double faults—
77%First serves in69%
66%First-serve points won87%
58%Second-serve points won47%
0/0Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held10/10
64%Service points won75%
26%Return points won36%
48Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. VasaTourS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%38%
Service games held76%76%77%
Breaks of serve25%24%23%
Aces per service game0.500.62
Double faults per game0.320.28
Sets with a tie-break11%15%
Tie-breaks won5/911/22
Wins in straight sets61%67%
Matches in the sample3463

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Eero Vasa

  • 02/11/26WVadym Ursu#414Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 01/11/26WAndrej Martin#351Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 2:6 6:3
  • 09/08/26LMichele Mecarelli#771Challenger Todi · Q13:6 2:6
  • 22/07/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Tampere · R163:6 2:6
  • 21/07/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Tampere · R327:6 4:6 6:0
  • 24/06/26LOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Plovdiv · R166:2 1:6 4:6
  • 23/06/26WManas Dhamne#391Challenger Plovdiv · R324:6 7:5 6:4
  • 31/05/26LLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Prostejov · Q16:7 4:6
  • 24/05/26LGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Vicenza · Q16:7 5:7
  • 13/05/26LJaime Faria#57Challenger Oeiras 4 · R163:6 1:6

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Elo over the last year

Eero VasaSascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. VasaS. Gueymard Wayenburg
Hard court7–558%22–1559%
Clay11–1150%11–1542%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Eero Vasa

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

First match in this tournament.