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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Martin vs Vasa 1:2: result and our tips

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Andrej MartinATP #351Elo 1608hard 1489
1:2final4:6 6:2 3:6
Eero VasaATP #478Elo 1527hard 1475

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Martin 16 of 20, Vasa 13 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrej Martin50%
Eero Vasa50%

Elo: A. Martin 52% · E. Vasa 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Martin31%
2:1 A. Martin19%
2:1 E. Vasa19%
2:0 E. Vasa31%

First set

Andrej Martin50%
Eero Vasa50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,284 matches

Games handicap

E. Vasa −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Andrej MartinEero Vasa
3Aces11
1Double faults8
71%First serves in66%
62%First-serve points won82%
60%Second-serve points won36%
3/5Break points converted3/8
10/13Service games held11/14
61%Service points won66%
34%Return points won39%
77Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MartinTourE. Vasa
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held74%76%76%
Breaks of serve28%24%25%
Aces per service game0.280.48
Double faults per game0.240.32
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won6/115/9
Wins in straight sets48%63%
Matches in the sample4132

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrej Martin

  • 22/10/26LSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Lisbon · R166:1 0:6 2:6
  • 20/10/26WTiago Torres#378Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 6:3
  • 19/10/26LAlexander Ritschard#282Challenger Lisbon · Q23:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WTiago Cacao#654Challenger Lisbon · Q17:6 6:4
  • 13/10/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Maia · R324:6 4:6
  • 12/10/26WDuje Ajdukovic#381Challenger Maia · Q25:7 6:3 6:2
  • 11/10/26WJoao Domingues#559Challenger Maia · Q16:2 6:1
  • 07/10/26LAlejandro Moro Canas#238Challenger Palermo · R160:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26WLouis Wessels#420Challenger Palermo · R326:3 2:6 4:2
  • 29/09/26LSamuele Pieri#315Challenger Bari · R324:6 4:6

Eero Vasa

  • 09/08/26LMichele Mecarelli#771Challenger Todi · Q13:6 2:6
  • 22/07/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#211Challenger Tampere · R163:6 2:6
  • 21/07/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#151Challenger Tampere · R327:6 4:6 6:0
  • 24/06/26LOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Plovdiv · R166:2 1:6 4:6
  • 23/06/26WManas Dhamne#391Challenger Plovdiv · R324:6 7:5 6:4
  • 31/05/26LLukas Pokorny#504Challenger Prostejov · Q16:7 4:6
  • 24/05/26LGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Vicenza · Q16:7 5:7
  • 13/05/26LJaime Faria#57Challenger Oeiras 4 · R163:6 1:6
  • 12/05/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#199Challenger Oeiras 4 · R327:5 6:4
  • 11/05/26WGarrett Johns#451Challenger Oeiras 4 · Q26:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Andrej MartinEero Vasa

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MartinE. Vasa
Hard court0–05–550%
Clay25–1661%11–1150%

Head to head

A. Martin 1–0 E. Vasa

  • 29/07/25Winner: A. Martin7:6 6:7 6:2

Upcoming matches

See also